Barnes Group (NYSE: B) is an international aerospace and industrial components manufacturing and distribution company. The firm operates through three divisions. Barnes Aerospace is a highly specialized manufacturer of components and assemblies used in commercial, business and military jets and industrial gas turbines. Barnes Industrial is the largest manufacturer of precision springs in North America and one of the largest makers of nitrogen gas springs in the world. Barnes Distribution is a leading provider of maintenance, repair, operating and production supplies, such as fasteners, electrical components, abrasives, adhesives and tools. Customers include General Electric (NYSE: GE), Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) and United Technologies (NYSE: UTX).
The company surprised the Street last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 60 cents and revenues of $388.6 million. Analysts had been looking for 53 cents and $381.2 million. The CEO attributed success to the firm's global reach. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $2.30-$2.39 ($2.24 consensus).
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says there's some reason for caution, but no reason to get out of the market here.
There all right there. Don't you feel it? Hundreds of stocks at resistance. Hundreds have formed a nice base. The Transports and the Dow are moving in synch. The earnings period surprisingly great, with so many companies not stung by the raw costs. Three straight up weeks, with all the commodity stocks showing signs of rolling over; most at crucial "must hold" levels except for gold, which has already crashed, making the inflation case much dimmer in the eyes of the traders.
Yet, you simply can't read the papers. They are too awful. The cost to the consumers for everything from food to gasoline is humongous and going higher, according to all the food execs I had on last week. We are getting nowhere near a bottom in housing. The layoffs, while not significant in the Labor Report on Friday, sure seem endless. The two major presidential candidates from the Democratic side want to tax the oil companies into oblivion, the leaders of the last year. Exxon (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take) blew the quarter. So did GE (NYSE: GE) (Cramer's Take).
Too far, too fast, based on those grim items.
To me, this is the first week since the Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) (Cramer's Take) bottom that I think seems aimless.
But perhaps there's a "split the difference" way to approach this week: options expiration.
Parker Hannifin Corporation (NYSE: PH) manufactures fluid power systems, electromechanical controls and related components. Its Industrial unit offers hydraulic systems, filters, sealing devices, pneumatic components and electromechanical instrumentation to OEMs in various production and processing industries. The firm's Aerospace segment provides hydraulic, fuel, and pneumatic systems used in commercial and military airframe and engine programs. The Climate and Industrial Controls division makes refrigeration and air conditioning systems. The company employs more than 57,000 people in 43 countries around the world. Eaton Corporation (NYSE: ETN) and Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) are competitors.
Investors were pleased last week, when the firm reported fiscal Q3 EPS of $1.49 and revenues of $3.18 billion. Analysts had been looking for $1.34 and $3 billion. Management pointed to growth in many key markets, including aerospace. The firm also guided FY08 EPS to $5.40-$5.60, versus consensus of $5.28.
The mood this week has changed sharply from the post-GE disappointment, despite weak economics still hitting the screens every morning in economic numbers. In fact, the week went much better than it was looking on Monday, and everyone remembered the old chant, "markets climb up a wall of worry." Even oil heading above the $116 per barrel isn't killing things. Here are unofficial closing levels:
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) down after reporting a net loss of $358 million on $1.5 billion in revenues. Losses were narrowed from the same quarter last year. The company also released plans to cut additional cost. If insiders want that stock to go up, they need to fire Hector Ruiz. Shares were down 1.6% at $6.09 going into the close.
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U.S. futures are up this morning despite news of another bad quarter from Citigroup (NYSE: C). The financial services giant this morning reported a Q1 loss of $5 billion, or $1.02 per share, following $12 billion in write-downs on mortgage-related securities and leveraged buyout loans. Analysts had expected better figures but the market apparently took heart that they weren't worse.
There were some good earnings reports for the bulls this morning. Dow 30 component Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) earned $1.45 per share on revenues of $11.8 billion in the first quarter, beating estimates of $1.33, and projected strong full-year revenues and earnings. The company did foresee continuing weakness in the U.S. economy but remains somewhat upbeat on prospects for the global economy.
Honeywell International Inc (NYSE: HON) said its Q1 earnings rose more than 22% on strong demand from the aviation and commercial construction sectors. Honeywell earned $643 million, or 85 cents per diluted share, compared with $526 million, or 66 cents a share, a year ago. Xerox is also due to report before the markets open.
Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported a 30% increase in Q1 profit after the close Thursday, beating expectations by more than 30 cents a share. Its revenues were up 42%, to $5.19 billion, over the same period last year. Google's shares soared 17% in an after-hours "relief rally."
Thursday markets were flat on a day of mixed earnings reports, with Merrill Lynch disappointing, but IBM beating estimates. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 1.22 points or 0.01%; the S&P 500 was up 0.85 point or 0.06%; and the Nasdaq Composite lost 8.28 points or 0.35%.
Honeywell (NYSE: HON) is expected to report Q1 EPS on April 18. Deutsche Bank says: "Reasonable valuation despite strong earnings growth potential." HON April option implied volatility is at 37, May is at 31; above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR)'s American Airlines cancelled 500 flights on Tuesday and is expected to cancel more flights Wednesday as the FAA inspects its MD-80 planes and if the airlines complies with federal rules about wiring on about 300 of its planes. MAR shares were down 2.3% in after-hours trading.
Boeing (NYSE: BA) may announce a 14- to 18-month delay of its already-delayed 787 Dreamliner according to the The Times of London, the AP reported. Seattle Post-Intelligencer puts the delay at 14 months from the original goal of first flight by the end of June, and first delivery in early 2009. Either way, the delays are much more than the 6-9 months analysts and buyers said they expected. BA shares were down 2.4% in very early premarket trading.
Motorola (NYSE: MOT) is keeping busy. After announcing it is splitting its handset and telecom equipment arms, and after settling a proxy battle with activist investor Carl Icahn, the cell phone maker on Wednesday said former AT&T Chairman and CEO David Dorman will be the non-executive chairman. He'll succeed Ed Zander, who as planned is retiring after the shareholder meeting on May 5.
With a market cap of $43 billion and lots of cash in the bank, Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON) is primed for some dealmaking, especially as valuations have fallen.
Well, the company recently struck a $1.2 billion buyout for Norcross Safety, which is a leader in the personal protection equipment industry. According to the company, the market is over $20 billion worldwide and is highly fragmented. What's more, the industry is relatively stable (primarily because of compliance as well as homeland security concerns).
Now, as a part of Honewell, Norcross should be positioned nicely to further consolidate things.
Interestingly enough, the majority owner of Norcross is Odyssey Investment Partners, which is a private equity firm. No doubt, it's a nice win for it – in light of the tough M&A environment. According to the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication], it looks like the firm scored a six-times-return on its investment.
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It is alarming to me that the same people who screw up the economy (or stand by watching) are the ones that are now promoting the remedies. They have proven without a shadow of a doubt that this is not their strong suit. The proposed economic stimulus package has bi-partisan support and calls for an estimated $156 billion of tax rebates ranging from $500 to $1,000 (+ $300 for each child) that might show up in May.
If we are going to add on to our already humungous joke of national debt, than I want to invest this capital in something that will bring a higher return on invested capital (ROIC) than the paltry one time mad money. That expenditure should be for national infrastructure projects like roadways, bridges, tunnels, and waterways.
We have all heard about the poor condition of our national infrastructure and the hundreds of billions of dollars of repair work and replacement that is desperately needed.
This alternative would bring visible results that every single person in the country would benefit from and improved linkages always stimulate economic growth. Road improvements even reduce fuel consumption by shortening routes and reducing friction both strategically and physically.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the bad news should make sure the Fed keeps cutting.
We haven't broken the spiral yet. The waves off of homes just keep fighting new areas to hurt, new municipal projects to ding, new large jobs numbers lost, new margin calls for places like Thornburg (NYSE: TMA) (Cramer's Take), which I thought was out of the woods.
Then I saw the TMA news and the verbiage that there was another problem in the markets in February that will require margin calls. This is the Alt-A culprit, the hard-to-value loans given to people who look likely to return the money because they have good solo jobs but on paper haven't been performing. TMA has a ton of jumbo loans to these people. Only back-from-the-grave Indymac (NYSE: IMB) (Cramer's Take) is worse.
Truth be told, we know these are all momentary issues. No bank seems willing to let anyone fail here, and neither TMA nor IMB will be so hurt by these new issues that they can crush the market. Same as Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) yesterday -- staggering losses, but so what?
All of them, what do they have in common? They have left the U.S. behind. We are an afterthought. If you can prove on a conference call that Ben Bernanke has nothing to do with your book of business, you are going higher.
Notice Eaton (NYSE: ETN) (Cramer's Take) and Emerson (NYSE: EMR) (Cramer's Take). They can't quit. When the coal operators come to their sense and realize that they can make fortunes digging for more, then Joy Global will take out the high. I am using any weakness to buy Foster Wheeler (NASDAQ: FWLT) (Cramer's Take), the tug of the non-U.S. cyclicals is that strong.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says balance sheets are strong, so spillover isn't an issue.
I get emails and postings almost every day from fixed-income specialists, saying that the credit markets' myriad problems simply aren't being reflected in the equity markets, and that's just plain wrong. They warn us equity players that we are dreamers and that it is just a matter of time before the terrible problems in collateralized debt, huge leverage, and now auction rate preferred notes spill over into equities and that any rally in stocks is just a fool's paradise.
There's a problem with this inevitability story though, one that eludes these critics and might continue to elude them -- it hasn't happened yet, despite a year's worth of turmoil. That's a long time for a big problem like this to be cordoned, so it is worth looking at whether the naysayers are wrong and something else is at work.
When I look around at the vast choices of assets out there for the thousands of fund managers and institutions that have to put their money somewhere -- provided it is not dedicated to a particular asset from the get-go -- I see one world in chaos and another world in order. The bond market, the credit market, is in total disarray, with every aspect of its existence save Treasuries under fire. We know now that a simple reset market for municipals is failing because, of course, the charade of the bond insurers and their chimerical protection. The CDO market stinks. This is a multibillion dollar market where no one can figure out the prices of anything and the spreads between the bid and the ask are so wide that no one can afford to own or trade them. You don't know where they are marked. You don't know what's in them. You don't know what they are really rated. They are basically worth nothing right now to anyone. Commercial paper? Hardly worth the pick-up in interest. "Cash reserves"? We have seen the "buck" supported over and over again. There has to be a moment where the buck is broken.